The article discusses how the expected El Niño drought might impact South Africa's agriculture and food prices in 2027.While El Niño typically causes droughts in southern Africa, the 2026-27 summer crop season may be less affected due to higher soil moisture from prolonged rains in 2025-26 and ample grain stocks.Previous droughts, like 2014-15 and 2015-16, led to significant maize production losses and food price inflation.However, current conditions suggest a better outlook.The 2025-26 maize harvest is projected at 17.3 million tonnes, up from 8.9 million tonnes during past droughts.South Africa's grain stocks and improved water levels in dams could mitigate price spikes.

The article emphasizes that while the drought is not ideal, factors like La Niña's lingering effects and record grain production may prevent a repeat of previous inflationary trends.