A leading forensic psychologist has cautioned that remorse alone should not be used to determine whether a Pretoria Boys High School learner accused of making violent threats poses a future risk.

The 16-year-old pupil, who cannot be identified because he is a minor, is alleged to have made disturbing comments in WhatsApp voice notes, including statements suggesting he could “blow up” the school and referencing a possible school shooting.

The school governing body has pushed for his expulsion, arguing that allowing him back could endanger learners and staff, particularly after allegations surfaced of videos showing him handling firearms, smoking marijuana, and discussing access to a Glock pistol.The learner’s mother has reportedly claimed that the firearm seen was only a toy gun.The Gauteng Department of Education, however, has opposed expulsion, stating that rehabilitation and behavioural intervention should be prioritised.Officials have pointed to the learner’s apparent remorse and ongoing supervision arrangements involving parents and stakeholders.

The disagreement has highlighted tensions between punitive disciplinary action and rehabilitative approaches in managing high-risk behavioural cases in schools.

Forensic psychologist Prof Gérard Labuschagne, a Certified Threat Assessment Professional and former SAPS profiler, argued that remorse is not a reliable protective factor against future violence.He stressed that any threat must be taken seriously and assessed through a structured violence risk assessment rather than informal judgement.

According to him, such assessments focus on preventing future harm rather than determining guilt, and are essential in understanding the level of risk posed.

Labuschagne further warned that dismissing threats because no physical violence has occurred is dangerous, as threats alone can already cause psychological harm and fear within a school community.He also cautioned that expulsion could potentially increase risk factors by destabilising the learner’s environment.

Instead, he called for a coordinated response involving parents, mental health professionals, case managers, and school authorities, promoting a “report to support” approach that balances accountability with safety.The education department has confirmed that discussions with the school are ongoing as stakeholders attempt to reach a resolution.