In this opinion piece, Tom Engelhardt argues that the public and media are overlooking what he considers a critical question about President Donald Trump's foreign policy: which country the United States might target next militarily.

The author contends that despite Trump's past campaign promises to avoid wars, his administration has been involved in military actions and has adopted increasingly aggressive rhetoric toward several countries, including Iran, Venezuela, Cuba, and others.

Engelhardt criticizes Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's statements about being prepared for potential contingencies involving Cuba and suggests that the administration is embracing a strategy centered on military power rather than diplomacy.The article also attacks the size of proposed U.S.defense spending, which the author claims could reach $1.5 trillion annually, arguing that such expenditures contribute to a cycle of military intervention without delivering lasting victories.

Beyond foreign policy, Engelhardt connects these concerns to broader issues including economic inequality, referencing Elon Musk's wealth and criticism from Senator Elizabeth Warren about a supposedly rigged economic system.

The author further links military activity to environmental concerns, warning that continued reliance on fossil fuels and ongoing conflicts could worsen climate change.

He concludes by highlighting reports of developing El Niño conditions and argues that the combination of geopolitical tensions, increased military spending, and climate challenges creates significant risks for the future.The article is presented as a strongly critical commentary on the Trump administration's priorities and policies.