The US Climate Prediction Centre (CPC) has warned that the El Nino weather pattern, which has been gaining strength over the past month, is highly likely to become one of the strongest on record when it peaks between October and December.The CPC estimates an 81% chance of a 'very strong' El Nino, defined as being 2.0 degrees Celsius above an index value, which could rank among the largest events since 1950.

This phenomenon, characterized by warmer surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, triggers global changes in weather patterns and contributes to rising global temperatures.The CPC also predicts an 97% chance that the event will persist through early spring 2027.Climate scientists note that global warming increases the variability of El Nino events, leading to more extreme weather conditions.

While El Nino can bring droughts to regions like Australia and wetter winters to East Africa and the southern US, its impacts on Europe are less certain.The current sea surface temperatures in the Nino 3.4 region are 1.2C above average, indicating a strengthening El Nino.This event, combined with human-induced climate change, contributed to 2023 being the second-hottest year on record and 2024 the hottest.The article highlights the potential global repercussions of this powerful weather pattern and its implications for climate science.