U.S.Representative Derrick Van Orden, a Republican from Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District and a strong supporter of President Donald Trump, faces a challenging re-election battle amid growing discontent among local farmers.

The district, known for its significant dairy and agricultural production with around 17,000 farms, is feeling the impact of Trump's tariff policies, increased fuel and fertilizer costs, and trade disruptions linked to the ongoing war with Iran.Farmers in the region have expressed frustration with the administration's approach, which Van Orden has vigorously defended.

Beef producer Max Hart noted that while many farmers may be reluctant to vote Democratic, they are increasingly unhappy with the current policies affecting their livelihoods.The Cook Political Report has shifted the race rating from lean-Republican to a toss-up, reflecting the competitive nature of the contest.

Van Orden's likely Democratic opponent, Rebecca Cooke, has raised more funds and received support from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's Red to Blue program.Cooke, who grew up on a dairy farm, connects with voters by emphasizing her background and a message of moderation and problem-solving over chaos.

Recent polling from Marquette Law School indicates that a majority of Wisconsin voters, particularly in the western part of the state, believe Trump's tariffs are harming farmers.Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins and Robert F.Kennedy Jr.have made appearances to bolster Van Orden, and President Trump is scheduled to campaign in the area, highlighting efforts like lower input costs and new trade opportunities.

However, experts like Darin Von Ruden of the Wisconsin Farmers Union warn that struggles at the farm level ripple through the entire rural economy, affecting bankers, veterinarians, and supply stores.

Van Orden maintains that prices will stabilize once the Iran conflict ends, but the agricultural community's patience appears to be waning as the 2026 midterms approach.