Experts are divided on the effects of the anticipated El Niño on South Africa's agriculture, which coincides with the 2026-27 summer crop season.Wandile Sihlobo of Agbiz notes that while El Niño may bring below-normal rainfall, the prolonged La Niña periods have improved soil moisture and water tables, providing a buffer for farmers.The 2025-26 harvest was record-breaking despite longer rainfall seasons, with no major quality issues reported.

Dr Christiaan Mostert warns of elevated drought risks in parts of Namibia, Botswana, and South Africa, but highlights existing buffers like grain stocks and dam levels.Professor Simphiwe Madikizela suggests current rain levels and soil moisture mean the next planting season won't be impacted.The article underscores the complex interplay between climate patterns, agricultural planning, and food security in South Africa.