Recent signals from ODM leaders, including Oburu Oginga and Gladys Wanga, have sparked discussions about the party's strategy ahead of the 2027 General Election.Oburu plans to defend his Siaya senatorial seat, while Wanga is eyeing re-election as Homa Bay Governor.

These moves suggest ODM may consider not fielding a presidential candidate, opting instead to strengthen parliamentary and county positions through coalitions.

On paper, this seems practical—presidential campaigns in Kenya are very expensive, sometimes costing billions of shillings for nationwide logistics, digital mobilisation, and security.However, ODM’s presidency historically fuels grassroots energy, mobilises volunteers, and boosts local candidates through the ‘coattail effect’.

Skipping the presidential race could weaken ODM’s national presence, reduce voter loyalty, and transform it into a coalition-focused party rather than a mass movement.A presidential campaign also helps test new national leaders and sustain party infrastructure, including county coordinators and youth networks.While coalition politics can still give ODM influence, the party risks losing long-term visibility and emotional connection with supporters.Ultimately, the 2027 decision will shape whether ODM remains a broad-based political movement or becomes primarily a power broker in alliances.